Morocco's Victimization Strategy: A Double-Edged Sword in the Sahara Conflict

Faithful to my principles, I have neither the habit of appropriating others’ ideas nor engaging in plagiarism. I must therefore clarify that the subject of this article is not the result of my own reflection but rather that of a dear friend, an expert in military and security affairs, with whom I recently had a discussion. As I do not have his permission to mention his name, I will respect his anonymity. Nevertheless, I extend my sincere gratitude to him for his unwavering patriotism and the sharpness of his analyses. I deeply regret that the political and military leaders of our country do not pay greater attention to such enlightened minds, whose counsel would be of inestimable value.

For several decades, Morocco has carved out a unique position in the media and diplomatic war it wages against Algeria and the Polisario Front. At the crossroads of geopolitics and historical rivalries, Rabat has mastered the art of victimization and narrative manipulation, adopting the posture of a modern Cassandra — the mythological figure doomed to predict catastrophes without ever being believed.

However, behind this perpetual complaint strategy lies a deep flaw that Algeria, with sharp strategic thinking, could turn into a formidable weapon. The constant agitation that animates Moroccan diplomacy is not only a weakness — it's a noose Rabat ties around its own neck without realizing it.

The Art of Victimization: A Double-Edged Sword

Since the beginning of the Western Sahara conflict, Morocco has positioned itself as the victim of a regional conspiracy orchestrated by Algeria, allegedly allied with terrorist movements, drug traffickers, and more recently, Iran and Hezbollah.

With each geopolitical trend dominating the global scene, Rabat adjusts its rhetoric to align the image of the Polisario and Algeria with the major threats of the moment:

• 2000s: Post-9/11 era, where jihadist terrorism becomes the global scarecrow. Morocco accuses the Polisario of links with Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), despite the lack of credible evidence.
• 2010s: The European migrant crisis. Morocco claims that Sahrawi camps have become human trafficking hubs.
• 2020s: Iran-Hezbollah becomes the West's primary enemy. Rabat boldly accuses Algeria and the Polisario of receiving Iranian weapons via Beirut.
• Today: The latest narrative focuses on the fight against child soldiers, with Morocco accusing the Sahrawis of recruiting minors in the Tindouf camps.

However, this perpetual victimization strategy carries a fundamental weakness: it relies on fragile credibility. Constantly crying wolf without ever providing tangible proof eventually leads to losing all legitimacy.

Morocco fails to understand that crying wolf too often ends with no one listening.

Silence as a Strategic Weapon

Faced with Morocco's constant agitation, Algeria's frequent mistake is to respond tit for tat, feeding into the media noise Rabat seeks to create. Every denial or official statement only reinforces the false equivalence Morocco tries to impose — that both sides are equally guilty.

The best response to Moroccan propaganda is not agitation. It is silence.

But a calculated silence — not inaction, but the discreet preparation of a decisive response on the battlefield. Morocco's diplomatic frenzy masks a simple reality: Rabat holds the defensive wall in Western Sahara only thanks to its technological superiority and the diplomatic cover of Israel and the United States.

Algeria and the Polisario could turn Morocco's Cassandra complex against it with a two-step strategy:

1. Let Rabat sink deeper into its absurd accusations without responding.
2. Focus all efforts on qualitatively arming the Polisario — without media fanfare.

The Solution: An Invisible War

The key to breaking Morocco's defense lies in modern, asymmetric weaponry that strikes where the enemy least expects it. Instead of falling into the trap of flashy power demonstrations, Algeria could equip the Polisario with discreet but decisive systems:

• Rezvan Missiles (350 km range): Capable of striking Moroccan bases behind the wall without triggering radar alerts.
• Iranian 358 Missiles: Designed to shoot down Israeli Hermes 900 drones patrolling the Sahara.
• Arash-2 Drones: Long-range kamikaze drones perfect for neutralizing Moroccan anti-aircraft batteries.
• Chinese 4x4 buggies armed with heavy machine guns: Ideal for quick raids through breaches in the wall.
• Electronic jamming systems: To disable Israeli radars deployed by Morocco.

With carefully delivered shipments, in partnership with Iran or China, Morocco's technological superiority could evaporate in six months — without a single press release.

Morocco's Failure: A Victory Without Fanfare

When the Moroccan defense wall begins to crumble under Sahrawi surgical strikes, Rabat will find itself trapped by its own game.

What would Morocco do? It would cry out once again about an Iranian conspiracy, the diabolical Algeria-Iran-Hezbollah alliance.

But this time, no one would listen.

After years of verbal escalation, Morocco has discredited itself. When its accusations finally prove true, the world will look away, tired of hearing the same refrain.

Cassandra Always Falls into Silence

Morocco's greatest mistake is believing that the media war is an end in itself. But real wars are won through patience, discretion, and precision.

By letting Morocco drown in its own agitation, Algeria can push it slowly toward diplomatic isolation and psychological exhaustion.

The perfect strategy is to do exactly what Cassandra hates the most: not respond... and strike when she least expects it.

"Words are the weapon of the weak...

Silence is the strategy of the strong."

Algeria doesn't need to prove Morocco is a liar.

It simply needs to let Morocco prove it itself — before making it bite the dust on the battlefield.