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February 28: When Timing Becomes Part of the Weapon

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TSGP: The Trans‑Saharan Pipeline and the Emerging Geopolitical Map of Africa

The Trans‑Saharan Gas Pipeline (TSGP)—linking Nigeria to Algeria through Niger —is no longer merely an engineering undertaking. It has evolved into one of the most strategically charged energy corridors on the African continent . By connecting West Africa’s vast gas reserves to Europe through Algerian export networks, the project is shaping a new geopolitical geography at a moment when global energy markets are undergoing profound restructuring. Recent statements by Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune confirmed that construction will begin immediately after Ramadan , marking a decisive shift from planning to execution.  1. A Continental Energy Corridor With Global Stakes Technically, the TSGP is designed to transport up to 30 billion cubic meters of gas per year , running more than 4,000 km from southern Nigeria to Algeria’s Hassi R’Mel hub . Once it reaches Algeria, Nigerian gas would be injected into existing export routes such as Medgaz , TransMed , and potentially LNG ...

From the MiG-25 era to the consolidation of a regional power: Algeria's strategic trajectory

Since the late 1970s, Algeria has undertaken a methodical transformation of its military apparatus, a shift that has deeply shaped the strategic balance in the Maghreb. The entry into service of the Mikoyan‑Gurevich MiG‑25 within the People’s National Army (ANP) marked a decisive turning point. At the time, this supersonic interceptor—capable of flying at very high altitudes and reaching speeds close to Mach 3—introduced a major technological breakthrough in the region. This choice was neither symbolic nor circumstantial. It reflected a long-term strategic vision: ensuring durable qualitative superiority based on deterrence and autonomy. Continuous Modernization: From Classical Deterrence to the Advanced Generation The acquisition of the MiG‑25 was only the starting point of a cumulative dynamic. Algeria gradually consolidated all dimensions of its military power. The introduction of the Sukhoi Su‑30MKA marked a major leap in operational versatility: air superiority, ground attack, a...

Western Sahara: The Illusion of Victory and the Reality of Power Dynamics

For several months, a deliberate campaign has sought to impose a simple idea: the question of Western Sahara is settled, sealed, irreversible. Morocco, we are told, is no longer negotiating anything; it is merely formalizing a sovereignty already acquired. Washington’s mission, according to this narrative, would be to persuade the Polisario Front to place its signature at the bottom of an agreement whose terms are supposedly already written. This staging aims to produce a psychological effect: to create the impression that history has already ended. Yet in diplomacy, declaring a conflict resolved does not resolve it. Rhetoric may precede reality; it never replaces it. Resolution 2797: A Diplomatic Instrument, Not a Blank Check Resolution 2797 is presented as the definitive consecration of autonomy under Moroccan sovereignty . But a strategic reading suggests something quite different. The Security Council: describes the Moroccan initiative as “serious and credible”; calls for a poli...

Algeria’s Acquisition of the Su‑57E: A Strategic Shift Reshaping the Maghreb Balance of Power

Algeria’s acquisition of the Russian Su‑57E , one of the world’s most advanced fifth‑generation fighter jets, marks a major development in the regional military landscape. Frequently compared to the American F‑35 for its stealth and advanced combat capabilities, the aircraft’s entry into Algerian service signals a significant technological leap with far‑reaching strategic consequences for the Maghreb . A Technological Breakthrough with Regional Implications By introducing the Su‑57E into its arsenal, Algeria becomes the first Arab and African country to deploy a fifth‑generation fighter jet. Images circulating online, followed by official confirmation of an order estimated at a dozen aircraft, reinforce analysts’ assessments that Algeria is pursuing a long‑term strategy centered on: strengthening its deterrence posture, maintaining a qualitative edge in its neighborhood, and consolidating its strategic autonomy through diversified defense partnerships. This approach aligns with Alger...

Laurent Nuñez’s Visit to Algeria: Security De‑escalation, Political Recalibration, or Crisis Management by Other Means?

French media coverage of Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez’s mid‑February visit to Algeria largely framed it as a practical, security-first step —a move designed to cool tensions after an extended diplomatic freeze and what commentators described as one of the sharpest crises in bilateral relations in years. Most outlets emphasized the technical nature of the trip: restoring working channels, reactivating operational coordination, and tackling concrete files that had stalled amid political friction. Yet in Franco‑Algerian relations, “technical” seldom means apolitical. If anything, the choice to proceed through the security track is itself a political signal: when the strategic relationship is blocked at the top, states reopen the “functional basement” first —services, coordination mechanisms, and administrative dossiers—because it produces results while minimizing symbolic costs and domestic backlash. In short, the security lane is often the safest route to a controlled thaw without ...

In one week, Algeria erased ten years of Moroccan mirages in Africa

Since its return to the African Union, Morocco has multiplied grandiose announcements meant to illustrate a renewed pan‑African ambition. Yet these projects, often presented as engines of South‑South integration, struggle to move beyond the realm of communication and end up resembling one another in their lack of concrete implementation. Among these initiatives are: – the promise to build a capital city for South Sudan; – the Nigeria–Morocco gas pipeline project; – an Atlantic access corridor intended for Sahel countries; – and an electric cable supposedly meant to link Morocco to the United Kingdom, even though the country remains structurally dependent on electricity imports from Spain. In this context, President Tebboune’s announcement of the effective start of construction works on the Algeria–Niger–Nigeria gas pipeline, on Nigerien territory, marks a major turning point and significantly reduces the scope of the competing project promoted by Rabat. General Tiani’s visit to Algiers...